Estimated distribution of malaria cases among children in sub-Saharan Africa by specified age categories using data from the Global Burden of Diseases 2019.

BACKGROUND: Children in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) remain the most vulnerable to malaria and malaria mortality. This study estimated the disease burden and distribution of Plasmodium falciparum malaria among children with age categories (0 to < 2 years, 2 to < 6 years, 6 to < 12 years, ≥ 12 years) in SSA. METHODS: Data on the number of cases and incidence rates of P. falciparum malaria by age group from the Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation (GBD 2019) for 11 countries in SSA was employed in this study. The best-fitting distribution of P. falciparum malaria cases by prespecified age categories was derived using a combination of a Log-normal and Weibull distribution. RESULTS: Plasmodium falciparum malaria was 15.4% for ages 0 to < 2 years, 30.5% for 2 to < 6 years, 17.6% for 6 to < 12 years, and 36.5% for ≥ 12 years based on data from countries in SSA. The results have important implications for the current drive by the FDA and EMA to ensure the representativeness of real-world populations in clinical trials evaluating the safety and efficacy of medication exposure. CONCLUSIONS: The theoretical distributions of P. falciparum malaria will help guide researchers in ensuring that children are appropriately represented in clinical trials and other interventions aiming to address the current burden of malaria in SSA.

RETINAL VASCULITIS OR VASCULAR OCCLUSION AFTER BROLUCIZUMAB FOR NEOVASCULAR AGE-RELATED MACULAR DEGENERATION: A Systematic Review of Real-World Evidence.

PURPOSE: Retinal vasculitis or vascular occlusion (RV/RO) have been reported after brolucizumab for neovascular age-related macular degeneration. This systematic literature review evaluated RV/RO events after brolucizumab in real-world practice. METHODS: Systematic literature searches identified 89 publications; 19 were included. RESULTS: Publications described 63 patients (70 eyes) with an RV/RO event following brolucizumab. Mean age was 77.6 years and 77.8% of patients were women; 32 eyes (45.7%) received one brolucizumab injection before RV/RO. Mean (range) time to event from last brolucizumab injection was 19.4 (0-63) days, with 87.5% of events occurring within 30 days. Among eyes with preevent and postevent visual acuity (VA) assessments, 22/42 eyes (52.4%) showed unchanged (±0.08 logMAR) or improved vision from last recorded preevent assessment at latest follow-up, whereas 15/42 eyes (35.7%) showed ≥0.30 logMAR (≥15 letters) VA reduction. Patients with no VA loss were on average slightly younger and had a higher proportion of nonocclusive events. CONCLUSION: Most RV/RO events reported after brolucizumab in early real-world practice occurred in women. Among eyes with VA measurements, approximately half experienced VA loss; overall, about one-third had VA reduction of ≥0.30 logMAR at latest follow-up, with indications of regional variations.

C-reactive protein as a biomarker of response to inhaled corticosteroids among patients with COPD.

AIMS: C-reactive protein (CRP) is an important biomarker in systemic inflammation in COPD; reports have suggested inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) attenuate CRP levels. We evaluated the risk of moderate-to-severe exacerbations, severe exacerbations and all-cause mortality among patients with COPD currently exposed to Inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) stratified by CRP levels compared to never ICS users with low CRP levels. METHODS: We included subjects age 40 or more who had a diagnosis of COPD from January 1, 2005 to January 31, 2014 from the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD). ICS exposure was determined time-dependently, as current, recent, past or never users. We evaluated the risk of moderate-to-severe exacerbations, severe exacerbations and all-cause mortality among ICS users stratified by CRP levels. RESULTS: 17,722 subjects diagnosed with COPD met the inclusion criteria. Among current or never ICS with elevated CRP levels we found, no significantly reduced risk of moderate-to-severe or severe exacerbations. For patients currently exposed ICS with CRP levels ≥8 mg/L there was no reduced risk of moderate-to-severe exacerbations (adjusted hazard ratio [adj. HR] 0.99; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.76-1.31) or severe exacerbations (adj.HR 1.52; 95% CI 0.71-3.27). However, we found an increased risk of all-cause mortality among COPD patients with CRP levels ≥8 mg/L irrespective of ICS exposure. CONCLUSION: We did not find a reduced risk of moderate and/or severe COPD exacerbations among COPD patients with varying CRP levels currently exposed to ICS. However, low-grade systemic inflammation was associated with all-cause mortality among COPD patients.

Absolute Blood Eosinophil Counts to Guide Inhaled Corticosteroids Therapy Among Patients with COPD: Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: The Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) 2019 recommends the use of absolute blood eosinophil count as a guide for the escalation and de-escalation of inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) in the pharmacological management of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). We evaluated the risk of moderate or severe exacerbations among patients escalating and de-escalating ICS therapy by absolute blood eosinophil thresholds in this systematic review. METHODS: Through a comprehensive literature search of Pubmed/MEDLINE, EMBASE, and clinical trial sites up to April 2019, we identified relevant studies. We used generic inverse variance method with fixed-effects estimates to compare the risk of moderate or severe exacerbations among COPD patients with elevated blood eosinophil counts exposed to inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) versus non-ICS treatments groups expressed as risk ratios. RESULTS: Ten studies (8 randomised control trials and 2 observational studies) were included, with a total of 85,059 COPD patients. In our pooled analysis, we found an overall reduction in risk of moderate or severe exacerbations in patients with absolute blood eosinophil thresholds ranging from ≥ 100 to ≥ 340 cells/µL among patients escalating ICS (RR, 0.77, 95% CI, 0.73-0.81). For studies evaluating the effects of de-escalation of ICS on moderate to severe exacerbations using blood eosinophil thresholds of ≥ 300 to ≥ 340 cells/µL had an increased risk of moderate or severe exacerbations following the de-escalation of ICS (RR, 1.66, 95% CI, 1.31-2.10). CONCLUSION: This study confirms the validity of the recommended absolute blood eosinophil count thresholds for the escalation and de-escalation of ICS among COPD patients. However, this recommendation is for COPD patients with prior exacerbations rather than among newly diagnosed COPD patients as observed in this study. COPD patients with current or past history of asthma represent a unique phenotypic group which should be further evaluated.

Blood Eosinophil Counts, Withdrawal of Inhaled Corticosteroids and Risk of COPD Exacerbations and Mortality in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD).

Although recently introduced in the pharmacological treatment algorithm of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), there is a need for more data supporting the use of blood eosinophil counts as a biomarker to guide inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) therapy. The aim of this study was to evaluate the risk of moderate and/or severe exacerbations and all-cause mortality in a large primary care population after withdrawal of ICS compared to continued users stratified by elevated blood eosinophil counts. In this population based cohort study, we used data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) in the United Kingdom. We included subjects' aged 40 years or more who had a diagnosis of COPD. We excluded subjects with a history of asthma, pulmonary fibrosis, cardiac arrhythmia and bronchiectasis, COPD exacerbations occurring within 6 weeks prior to index date, or with a myocardial infarction within 3 months prior to index date. Continuous users were subjects who received their most recent ICS prescription within 3 months before the start of an interval. ICS withdrawals were those who discontinued ICS for more than 3 months. We evaluated the risk of moderate and/or severe exacerbations and all-cause mortality among subjects with various blood eosinophil thresholds who withdrew from ICS compared to continuous ICS users with elevated blood eosinophil levels using Cox regression analysis adjusted for potential confounders. We identified 48,157 subjects diagnosed with COPD between 1 January 2005 to 31 January 2014. Withdrawal of ICS was not associated with an increased risk of moderate-to-severe exacerbations among subjects with absolute blood eosinophil counts ≥0.34 × 109 cells/L [adjusted hazard ratio (adj. HR) 0.72; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.63-0.81] or relative counts ≥ 4.0% (adj. HR 0.72; 95% CI: 0.66-0.78). Similarly, withdrawal of ICS was not associated with an increased risk of severe exacerbations among subjects with absolute blood eosinophil ≥0.34 × 109 cells/L (adj. HR 0.82; 95% CI: 0.61-1.10) or relative blood eosinophil counts ≥4.0% (adj. HR 0.80; 95% CI: 0.61-1.04). No increased risk of all-cause mortality was observed among subjects who withdrew from ICS irrespective of elevated absolute or relative blood eosinophil counts. In a real-world primary care population, we did not observe an increased risk of moderate and/or severe COPD exacerbations or all-cause mortality among subjects with eosinophilia who withdrew their use of ICS.

Trends in moderate and severe exacerbations among COPD patients in the UK from 2005 to 2013.

INTRODUCTION: Exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease are characterised by increased symptoms such as dyspnoea, cough and sputum production and/or purulence, leading to greater risk of hospitalisation and mortality. Very few studies have measured long term trends in the incidence of exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. We therefore investigated the incidence of moderate and severe exacerbations in the UK general population. METHODS: A population based-study including Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) patients ≥ 40 years of age with a current diagnosis of COPD within the United Kingdom from 2004 to 2013 was conducted. Individuals with a history of asthma were excluded from main analyses. We calculated the incidence rates for any, moderate, and severe exacerbations. Patients contributed time at risk from January 1st up to the date of the first outcome within each year. The incidence rate for any, moderate and severe exacerbations for COPD in each calendar year was calculated as follows: the sum of any or moderate or severe exacerbations for COPD in that year divided by the total duration of follow-up in the same calendar year from 2005 through to 2013. We then analysed these rates by gender and age categories (40-59 years, 60-79 years and ≥80 years). RESULTS: Among 213,561 with incident COPD diagnosis, 86,300 patients were included in the study. From 2005 to 2013, the incidence rate of any exacerbations increased from 89 to 98 per 1000 person years (PYs) (p = 0.005). Women had significantly higher incidence rates of any exacerbation for each calendar year when compared to men (p < 0.0001). The incidence rate of any and moderate exacerbations increased with age from 2005 to 2007. For severe exacerbations incidence decreased from 2005 to 2007 before increasing from 2008 until the end of follow-up (43 per 1000 PYs (95% confidence interval, 42-45/1000PYs) in 2013). Incidence rates of severe exacerbations were similar by gender and patients aged 80 + years had a higher incidence rate of severe exacerbation from 2005 to 2008 after which their incident rate dropped in subsequent years. CONCLUSION: This is the first study that reports the long-term changes in the incidence rates of moderate and severe exacerbations within the UK general practice. Women showed a substantially higher risk of any COPD exacerbations, and their risk is increasing. The incidence rates of any exacerbations increased during the study period, while severe exacerbations were variable. Furthermore, incidence rates varied substantially by age group.

Blood eosinophilia, use of inhaled corticosteroids, and risk of COPD exacerbations and mortality.

PURPOSE: It remains unclear whether eosinophilia is useful for in guiding inhaled corticosteroid (ICS) therapy in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients. The goal of this study is to evaluate the risk of acute exacerbations, COPD-related hospitalisations/accident and emergency visits, and all-cause mortality with various levels of eosinophil counts among COPD patients using ICS. METHODS: A cohort study was conducted using the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink. Patients were aged 40+ and had COPD (n = 32 693). Current users of ICS were stratified by relative and absolute eosinophil counts to determine the risk of outcomes with blood eosiniphilia using Cox regression analysis. RESULTS: Among COPD patients, current use of ICS was not associated with a reduced risk of acute COPD exacerbations, COPD-related hospitalisations/accident and emergency visits, and all-cause mortality. Stratification of ICS use by absolute or relative eosinophil counts did not result in significant differences in risk of COPD exacerbations or hospitalisations/accident and emergency visits. However, all-cause mortality was reduced by 12% to 24% among patients with eosinophilia. CONCLUSIONS: COPD-related acute exacerbations or hospitalisations/accident and emergency visits were not reduced with eosinophilia among users of ICS with COPD. However, all-cause mortality was reduced by 12% to 24%. These findings are potentially important and require further evaluation in prospective studies.

Use of high-dose intermittent systemic glucocorticoids and the risk of fracture in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

INTRODUCTION: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is characterised by persistent airflow obstruction and respiratory symptoms. While short course systemic GCs are prescribed in patients with acute COPD exacerbations, little is known of the risk of fractures with intermittent exposure to high-dose GC and the effect of proxies of disease severity. METHODS: A case-control study was conducted using the Danish National Hospital Discharge Registry (NHDR) between January 1996 to December 2011. Conditional logistics regression models were used to derive adjusted odds ratios (OR) risk of fractures in subjects with COPD stratified by intermittent high-dose, and proxies of disease severity. RESULT: A total of 635,536 cases and the same number of controls were identified (mean age 67.5±13.8, 65% female). COPD patients with intermittent use of high average daily dose oral glucocorticoids did not have an increased risk of any, osteoporotic, hip or clinically symptomatic vertebral fracture compared to non-COPD patients (adj. OR 0.65; 95% CI: 0.50-0.86, 0.70; 95% CI: 0.70-0.99, 1.17; 95% CI: 0.59-2.32, 1.98; 95% CI: 0.59-6.65 respectively). We identified an elevated risk of osteoporotic fracture among patients who visited the emergency unit (adj. OR 1.47; 95% CI 1.20-1.79) or were hospitalised in the past year for COPD (adj. OR 1.76; 95% CI 1.66-1.85). Current GC use among COPD patients was associated with an increased risk of osteoporotic, hip and clinically symptomatic vertebral fractures compared to patients without COPD. CONCLUSION: Intermittent high-dose GCs was not associated with an increased risk of any, osteoporotic, hip or clinically symptomatic vertebral fractures in patients with COPD. Current GC use was however associated with an increased risk of hip and clinically symptomatic vertebral fractures. Therefore, emphasis on prophylactic treatment of fractures may not be essential in patients with COPD receiving intermittent dose of GCs, whereas this should be considered for high-dose long-term users with advanced COPD disease stage, postmenopausal women and men over 40years.